SOMETIMES, the future can be dug out of the past.
After 40 years of experimenting with pervasive state controls and planned economic
development, a forex crisis was all it took for reform textbooks to be taken out of trunks
and dusted back to life. To show how India is returning to the road it once deliberately
rejected after much consultation with global economists of all hues, the Delhi-based ccs
has brought out a timely reminder: a collection of two articles Milton Friedman wrote on
India in 1955 and 1963.
The Nobel laureates first article was really a memorandum submitted to C.D.
Deshmukh, then finance minister: a roadmap to attain an "entirely feasible" 5
per cent growth since "India lacks none of the basic requisites for economic growth
except a proper economic policy". Friedman was critical of the focus on heavy public
sector industries and traditional handicrafts at the expense of small and medium units,
rigid investment controls and input taxation, excessive deficit financing and forex
controls and warned against overdependence on forex. Much of that has been put to practice
in the 90s, work is on on the rest. But precious time has been lost forever.
Something he realised when he returned after seven years and found that by not heeding
his suggestions, or those of lses Peter Bauer, India had nurtured an
"influence" society characterised by public affluence and private squalor. One
third of the people, the poorest, had seen no change in their food consumption in 13 years
of planning. Dismayed, he wrote: "The current danger is that India will stretch into
centuries what took other countries only decades." How eerily prophetic this American
"free-marketeer" was!